Look at the picture: The increased confidence of Japan's large-scale manufacturing industry indicates that the economic development is in line with the Bank of Japan's forecast. Before the Bank of Japan's policy meeting next week, the confidence of Japan's large-scale manufacturing industry has increased. According to the quarterly short-term report released by the Bank of Japan on Friday, the short-term survey index of Japan's large manufacturing industry rose slightly to 14 in December, with an estimated 13. The short-term survey index of large non-manufacturing industry decreased slightly from 34 to 33. Small businesses' confidence in manufacturing and service industries has also improved, although the outlook has slightly weakened or remained unchanged. The short-term report has attracted the attention of the Bank of Japan and is the last batch of major domestic data that will be carefully studied before the interest rate decision on December 19. This result shows that Japan's economic development is in line with the forecast of the Bank of Japan and is a condition for further interest rate hike. Compared with December, economists are more inclined to expect the Bank of Japan to take action in January next year, but still believe that the risk of raising interest rates next week is high.The United States said that the ceasefire agreement in Gaza was close to being reached, but Hamas didn't respond. On the 12th local time, Sullivan, Assistant to the President of the United States for National Security Affairs, held talks with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. After the talks, Sullivan told the media that he thought Netanyahu was ready to reach a ceasefire agreement with Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas). According to US media reports on the 12th, sources said that the negotiating position of Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) has softened, and it may agree to the temporary presence of Israeli troops in the Gaza after the ceasefire. However, Hamas has not yet responded to this news.Hebai Group: With the help of policy dividends, it will further stimulate new consumer demand and help the company's sales promotion. Hebai Group (000417) said on the interactive platform on December 13th that the company's top 100 electrical appliances actively grasped the new round of "trade-in" policy opportunity, adhered to "policy+activity" to stimulate new consumption potential, and quickly launched more than 33,000 subsidized goods in 8 categories of household appliances and 24 categories of smart homes. Since the implementation of the national subsidy policy in 2024, there have been more than 100,000 rejuvenation machines in stores in Anhui Province, with sales exceeding 400 million yuan, and the sales of household appliances in stores increased by 121% year-on-year. In the next step, the company will seize the time window, continue to integrate resources, closely focus on the national subsidy policy for household appliances in Anhui Province and Hefei consumer vouchers, and further stimulate new consumer demand with the help of policy dividends to help the company's sales increase.
Shangpin home delivery and Shulan signed a strategic cooperation agreement. According to Shangpin home delivery, on December 11th, Shangpin home delivery and Shulan formally signed a strategic cooperation agreement at Changshun Group headquarters. The two sides will break through the customized track, explore the path of "customization+software" integration and co-construction, jointly explore market channels, and provide consumers with more convenient, personalized and professional home solutions through integrated and integrated ecological scenarios.The main contract of the container transport index (European line) rose by 150.2 points in the day, and now it is reported at 2567.8 points, an increase of 6.21%.The Ministry of National Defense responded to the question of whether to engage in exercises: the situation is unpredictable, and the leader of the Taiwan Province region, Lai Qingde, recently "transited" Hawaii and Guam. On the morning of December 13th, Senior Colonel Wu Qian, Director of the Information Bureau of the Ministry of National Defense and spokesman of the Ministry of National Defense, answered a reporter's question on whether the PLA would conduct exercises. A: It is the sacred duty of the People's Liberation Army to safeguard national sovereignty and territorial integrity, the fundamental interests of the Chinese nation and the common interests of compatriots on both sides of the strait. Soldiers have no constant potential and water is impermanent. Whether and when to hold the exercise is up to us to decide independently according to our own needs and the struggle situation. No matter whether the exercise is held or not, the PLA will not be absent or soft in fighting for "independence" and promoting reunification. Any act of "seeking independence by relying on foreign countries" and "seeking independence by force" will be severely punished and doomed to failure.
Putin: China has made great strides in technological development. According to a report by the Tass news agency on December 11th, Russian President Vladimir Putin said at the international conference on "Journey of Artificial Intelligence" on December 11th that China is making great strides in technological development. According to the report, Putin pointed out in a dialogue with Song Haitao, president of Shanghai Institute of Artificial Intelligence: "China is making great strides in technological development and application of the most important technological development tools. Of course, the artificial intelligence you study is one of the most important tools. " Song Haitao told Putin that the Shanghai Institute of Artificial Intelligence plans to sign a memorandum of cooperation with the Russian Federal Savings Bank to promote technical research in the field of artificial intelligence. Putin said: "I am very happy to hear that you are going to sign a contract with the Russian Federal Savings Bank. I think this is meaningful for you and the Russian Federal Savings Bank. " (World Wide Web)Shenzhen accelerates to build a new generation of world-class automobile cities. The total output of automobiles this year is expected to exceed 2.8 million. Over the past hundred years, many well-known "automobile cities" have emerged continuously in the world automobile industry. As one of the earliest cities to develop new energy industry, Shenzhen has a solid foundation for industrial development, actively seizing the historical opportunity of global automobile industry reform and achieving "overtaking in corners" on new energy automobile tracks. In 2023, the output of new energy vehicles in the city reached 1.733 million, ranking first among cities in China. With the acceleration of intelligent process and the high coordination of industrial chain, a "new generation world-class automobile city" is accelerating in Shenzhen. (Shenzhen Special Zone Daily)Chief economist of CITIC Jiantou: More active finance and moderately loose currency are beneficial to both stocks and debts. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, interpreted the Central Economic Work Conference and said that the meeting stressed that it is necessary to maintain stable economic growth next year, maintain overall stability in employment and prices, raise the fiscal and monetary adjustment to the strongest level for many years, and give priority to expanding domestic demand. The construction of modern industrial system focuses on new quality productivity, and the economic system reform has landmark measures to expand autonomy and unilateral opening up in an orderly manner to stabilize the property market and stock market. Stable employment and stable prices will bring about both nominal and real growth, more active finance and moderately loose currency, which will be beneficial to both stocks and debts, the stock index, valuation and liquidity will stabilize and rebound, and the bond market interest rate will have more downside. Looking forward to 2025, the 5% real and nominal GDP growth rate is the direction of efforts. The growth is more brought about by the domestic demand boost and two innovations, new quality productivity and new supply, industrial digitalization and digital industrialization, rural revitalization and new urbanization, Belt and Road Initiative and opening up, and the high-quality ending of the "14 th Five-Year Plan" started the "15 th Five-Year Plan".